SocialPicks Sentiment:
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This Quarter's Sentiment:
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SocialPicks Community
ProActive HavRx Stock Indexes
SPY
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+3.05%
in
34 days
Below are descriptions of the 20 ProActive HavRx global equity indexes that include a database of over 1,000 stocks with links to the Investars YOU website for performance tracking. http://www.proactivenewsroom.com/indexes/ ImmunoTherapy / Vaccines Index <> The actively managed HavRx ImmunoTherapy / Vaccines Index includes companies with market caps below $5 billion at the time of index inclusion which are developing or commercializing any type of immunotherapy, gene therapy, or vaccine product that is designed to stimulate the immune system for the eradication, ...
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Before the Open
SPY
Jun 23 - Before the Open
SPY
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+9.08%
in
39 days
(closed on 08/04/09)
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Jun 25 - Before the Open
SPY
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+2.18%
in
24 hours
(closed on 06/26/09)
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Jun 24 - Before the Open
SPY
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+0.86%
in
24 hours
(closed on 06/25/09)
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From the Blogosphere
A Look at the Recent Underperformance of Small Cap Stocks
The recent post noted weakness in the number of stocks registering fresh 20-day highs vs. lows. Above we can see a contributor to that weakness: the relative underperformance of Russell 2000 stocks (IWM) relative to S&P 500 large caps (SPY) since the momentum peak in September. Interestingly, small caps were outperforming large caps by about 6% on the year in September; since then, however, small caps have actually moved to a slight underperformance on the year. This suggests a potential narrowing of the base of the market rally, something I'll be watching for this coming week.
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Trading Psychology and the Risk of Ruin
A reader commented on the recent post on mood and trading that he was battling his own moods after losing 17% of his equity in three trading days. Admirably, he expressed the desire to keep it together for his family.
But, of course, this isn't a mood problem. It's a problem of risk management.
<>If you trade frequently, it's only a matter of time before you experience runs of three, four, and five losers. That can be losing trades, losing days, or losing weeks. The laws of statistics dictate that if even if you are right on your trades 60% of the time or profitable 60% of days or weeks, ...
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Reflections on Commodity Strength and the Macro Investment Picture
While stocks have pulled back in recent days, we continue to see firmness in commodities (DBC; top chart), especially gold (GLD; middle chart) and oil (USO; bottom chart). In a contracting world economy, we would expect commodity consumption to be lower and commodity prices to collapse. This would put pressure on the currencies and stock markets of commodity-producing nations.
<>In an expanding world economy, we would expect to see rising commodity prices, reflecting growing consumption of commodities especially by rapidly growing emerging countries. That should be supportive of the currenc...
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Q309 Portfolio Update: Building Cash, Looking for Dividends
Earnings season is well under way, but before I turn to some of the my holdings and watchlist stocks, I thought I’d look back at the performance of the Against the Sky Portfolio and share some thoughts on the market. I recently updated my Performance page as Icarra seems to no longer be supported (Take a look here). <>During the third quarter, the net asset value of the Against the Sky Portfolio rose from $7.70 to $8.99, a 16.8% return. This compares to the S&P ETF (SPY) which increased 14.8% during the quarter. Since inception, the Against the Sky Portfolio is down 10.1% as of quarter end. ...
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More Volatility, More Weakness
Stocks did indeed close near their lows, trending lower through most of the session. By day's end, we had expanded the number of stocks making new 20-day lows across the NYSE, NASDAQ, and ASE to over 2700--remarkable given yesterday's solid bounce.
<>I took a look at what has happened historically after we've had three consecutive days of 20-day lows exceeding 2000. Going back to late 2002, which is how long I've kept these data, we find only 39 instances of such weakness. The next trading day, the S&P 500 Index (SPY) has averaged a gain of about 1% (24 up, 15 down). I find no significan...
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Trading exit strategy
- The true skill comes into play with the exits. Knowing when to take a loss and when to hang on to your profits. “ Know when to hold them and know...
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rickie
(-12.76% risk: conservative)
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DOWN
- The party is coming to an end.
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SELL THIS RALLY
- Sell this rally if you know what is good for you. The reasons are simple and relatively straight forward. Firstly, nothing has changed if anything th...
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